A new poll from the New York Times, Philadelphia Inquirer, and Siena College shows former President Donald Trump leading by six points in Arizona, while Vice President Kamala Harris holds a four-point advantage in Pennsylvania. The survey, which included over 1,600 voters from two key swing states, highlights the closely contested nature of the presidential race as both candidates work to sway the remaining undecided voters.
Trump’s lead in Arizona is bolstered by economic concerns among voters, while Harris’ advantage in Pennsylvania is largely driven by her strong stance on abortion. In Pennsylvania, voters trust Harris to handle the abortion issue more than Trump by a margin of 20 points.
Although Harris’ lead in Pennsylvania falls within the poll’s margin of error, it reflects a consistent, albeit narrow, advantage she has maintained for months. With 19 electoral votes, Pennsylvania is widely regarded as a pivotal battleground in the election.
Trump holds an 11-point lead over Harris in Pennsylvania when it comes to handling the economy, a sharp increase from his 4-point lead in a September poll. His six-point lead in Arizona remains steady, with a significant 15-point advantage over Harris on economic issues in the state.
Both campaigns are heavily investing in Pennsylvania in the final stretch of the election, with Harris, Trump, and various outside groups pouring approximately $350 million into television ads and regularly visiting the state for campaign events.